Fantasy Football 2022: Six pass catchers to consider fading in drafts – Yahoo Sports

Fantasy Football 2022: Six pass catchers to consider fading in drafts - Yahoo Sports

Maybe Kelce qualifies more as a premium fantasy player than the harshly termed “bust,” but he’ll soon be 33 and is clearly in the declining phase of his career — yet being drafted as a top-20 pick. Kelce’s yards per route run have dropped nearly 20 percent over the past three seasons with Tyreek Hill off the fieldand Kansas City added JuJu Smith-Schuster play the slot during the offseason.

Kelce is edited higher than Mark Andrewswho is six years younger, lost Marchioness Brown as competition and saw 15 end-zone targets last season compared to just four for Kelce. Make it make sense!

Sutton’s ADP looked one of the nastiest in recent memory before Tim Patrick dropped for the season, but now he’s just regularly overrated. While it’s definitely a boost to have Russell Wilson like his quarterback, Sutton’s ADP treats him as a top-20 WR who is terribly aggressive. Sutton’s goal per route rate dropped 38% and his yards per route run dropped from 2.10 to 0.48 (!) with Jeudy on the field last season.

In other words, even though Jeudy played through a serious high ankle sprain, 83% of Sutton’s fantasy points came with his teammate away the field last season. While there has certainly been some Wilson/Sutton buzz this summer, is a true argument the wrong Denver receiver is drafted first in fantasy leagues.

Allen has a safe floor and a star quarterback throwing to him, but this is a 30-year-old whose yards per route run have dropped in every season since 2017, ranking just 30th among 90 qualified WRs last year. Most importantly, Allen’s goals and fantasy production declined sharply once Joshua Palmer took over as LA’s WR3 for the final five weeks last season.

[It’s fantasy football season: Create or join a league now!]

In other words, Allen saw his target per route run rate drops from 27 percent to 20 percent with Palmer on the fieldand the sophomore wideout figures to see a lot more action in 2022.

San Francisco 49ers: Deebo Samuel

Samuel is drafted as a borderline eighth fantasy receiver despite not ranking top-50 in routes run or top-25 in targets last season. And his role in the passing game this year remains a question mark with San Francisco turning to Trey Lancewho worked exclusively with Brandon Aiyuk over the summer while Samuel mostly held out for a new contract. San Francisco’s new starting QB is on his way to attack completely different level of the field than Jimmy Garoppolo.

Deebo Samuel #19 of the San Francisco 49ers was a fantasy star in 2021

Trey Lance might not help Deebo Samuel’s fantasy prospects as much as some may think. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images)

Samuel is a yards-after-the-catch dynamo which will be used all over the field, but last season was the first he didn’t miss a game. It also marked the first time he had ever seen more than 81 goals. Samuel somehow rushed for eight scores on just 59 attemptsand the 49ers’ RB room enters 2022 much healthier and much deeper.

Samuel is simply not projected to see nearly the same volume as other receivers being drafted around him, making him an extremely risky second-round fantasy pick.

Seattle Seahawks: DK Metcalf

Metcalf continues to be drafted as a borderline top-20 fantasy receiver despite Seattle’s loss Russell Wilson during the offseason. Gene Smith was called QB1, (and the alternative is hardly better), and Metcalf saw his air yards per game cut in half and his target share drops under a teammate Tyler Lockett with Smith playing quarterback.

Metcalf is talented enough to overcome his suddenly shaky situation (Seattle too ran by far the fewest number of games in the NFL last season), but realizes that he benefited greatly from a Hall of Fame quarterback who for several years targeted him in the end zone more often than any other WR in the league.

And we haven’t even started on Metcalf “feeding” however.

[2022 Fantasy Draft Rankings: QBs | RBs | WRs | TEs | DEFs | Ks]

Washington Commanders: Terry McLaurin

Scary Terry is one of the best wide receivers in football, but he’s drafted in fantasy way too high, like he’s no longer saddled with a poor quarterback situation. Carson Wentz was one of the most inaccurate QBs in the league last season and will now play outside and with a slump on offensive line. Plus, a rookie WR John Dotson reportedly showed more chemistry with Wentzso I have a hard time ranking McLaurin, who posted a 23-318-0 line over the final seven games last season, as a top-15 WR as his ADP.

Imagine drafting McLaurin before Allen Robinson this year.

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.