College football picks vs. the spread: Bruce Feldman’s Week 3 picks – The Football Club

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I went 5-6 against the spread last week, dropping me to one under .500 against the line for the season.

The good: choosing Tennessee to cover at Pitt. The bad: picking alabama defeat Texas. The ugly: picking A&M to beat App State.

Here are this week’s guesses.

(All point spreads come from BetMGM, Click here for live odds, all kick times Eastern.)

Florida State (-3) at LouisvilleFriday, 7:30 pm (ESPN)

The Seminoles had an off-week to re-focus after a nice road win over LSU and prepare to handle an even better runner than Jayden Daniels in Malik Cunningham. Expect FSU to give Louisville plenty of trouble with Jared Verse and Co. getting a lot of pressure.

FSU 27, Louisville 24

Choose: Florida State -3

No. 1 Georgia (-24.5) at South Carolina, Noon (ESPN)

This is a big number for an SEC team to cover on the road. Spencer Rattler is off to a shaky start (2 TDs, 3 INTs). My guess is that he will make some plays and the Roosters defense will keep it a little close.

Georgia 34, South Carolina 14

Choose: South Carolina +24.5

No. 6 Oklahoma (-10.5) at Nebraska, Noon (Fox)

I expect the Huskers to respond well to the coaching change. Mickey Joseph will bring a little more organization, and some of the pressure around the program will be spread out. It wouldn’t shock me if the Huskers pull the upset outright.

Oklahoma 35, Nebraska 34

Choose: Nebraska +10.5

No. 12 BYU at No. 25 Oregon (-3.5), 3:30 pm (Fox)

The Cougars looked good against Baylor and can handle tough road environment. I think that the Ducks continues to work out the kinks and tries to find an identity.

BYU 35, Oregon 30

Choose: BYU +3.5

No. 22 Penn State (-3) at Chestnut brown3:30 p.m. (CBS)

The Tigers have enough athletes who can really run to slow down the Nittany Lions’ impressive stable of young backs, but I think defensive coordinator Manny Diaz and a good PSU secondary will cause some big mistakes from the Auburn quarterback. TJ Finleywho has one touchdown pass and three picks so far.

Penn State 20, Auburn 13

Choose: Penn State -3

Mississippi State (-2.5) at LSU, 6 pm (ESPN)

It’s unusual to see the Tigers as a home underdog against an unranked team, but here we are. I think Mississippi State has a more defined identity now than LSU, and I expect Will Rogers to keep the Tigers on their heels. He is playing with a lot of confidence now.

Mississippi State 34, LSU 27

Choose: Mississippi State -2.5

Texas Tech at No. 16 NC State (-10), 7 pm (ESPN2)

I like what I’ve seen from the young Texas Tech quarterback Donovan Smith so far, but NC State has a top-15 pass defense. I think that the Wolfpack will give him some headaches in a tough road for the young QB.

NC State 31, Texas Tech 24

Choose: Texas Tech +10

No. 11 Michigan State at washington (-3.5), 7:30 pm (ABC)

This feels like a coming-out party for Kalen DeBoer. He starts in Washington. Husky Stadium can get loud, and former Indiana quarterback Michael Penix Jr. plays very well in this system. If the Huskies can protect him well enough, I think they win a close one against a very well coached and balanced team.

Washington 24, Michigan State 23

Choose: Michigan State +3.5

This week’s upset special: SMU at Maryland (-3), 7:30 pm (FS1)

Tanner Mordecai looks good so far, and the Terps are a little beat up in the secondary. I think they will miss a prominent angle Tarheeb Still against the Mustangs a lot.

SMU 40, Maryland 35

Choose: SMU +3

(Photo: Stephen Brashear / USA Today)

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