NFL odds, lines, picks, spreads, best bets, predictions for Week 5, 2022: Model loving Titans, Jaguars – CBS Sports

The reach of Cowboys nation will likely be on full display Sunday when Dallas visits the Los Angeles Rams. Cowboys training camp is being held in Southern California, and what should be a split crowd has the Rams as 5.5-point home favorites in the latest Week 5 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Dak Prescott reportedly won’t return after thumb surgery, leaving Cooper Rush to try and cover one of the bigger NFL spreads of the week.

The Cowboys are 3-1 against the spread this season, while the Rams are 1-3. The Week 5 NFL schedule has Cowboys vs. Rams as one of four games with Week 5 NFL Vegas lines of greater than a field goal but less than a touchdown. All of the Week 5 NFL lines are listed below, and SportsLine’s advanced computer model has all the NFL betting tips and predictions you need to make the best Week 5 NFL picks right now..

The model, which simulates each NFL game 10,000 times, has raised nearly $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 4 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 139-103 run over top-rated NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season.

The model has also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight NFL picks and has beaten more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick’em players four times during that span. Anyone who followed it is way up.

Now, it has turned its attention to the latest Week 5 NFL odds and locked in picks for every NFL game. Go here to see each selection.

Top Week 5 NFL predictions

One of the NFL’s strongest Week 5 picks of the model is that the Titans (-2.5) cover against the Commanders in almost 60% of simulations. Washington has one more win than the Houston Texans, but you can make the case that the Commanders are the league’s poorest team. They rank 25th in scoring offense and 29th in scoring defense, making them the only team in the bottom 10 in both categories.

Meanwhile, Tennessee has rediscovered the formula that allowed it to be the AFC’s No. 1 overall seed last year. The team has won and covered its last two games, thanks to Derrick Henry reclaiming his throne as arguably the best point guard in the league. Henry went over 140 scrimmage yards in back-to-back weeks, despite facing two top-10 run defenses. Tennessee covers as 2.5-point favorites in nearly 60% of simulations.

Another one of its Week 5 NFL predictions: The Jaguars (-7) cover at home in a divisional matchup against the Texans. Jacksonville has played just one home game so far, a 24-point shutout win over the Colts. Jacksonville ranks third with a plus-38 point differential, behind only arguably the top two teams in the NFL, the Bills and Eagles.

The Jags fell to Philly in Week 4 thanks to wet conditions that resulted in four lost fumbles by Trevor Lawrence. That must have been an outlier of a game as Lawrence had just three combined lost fumbles over his previous 17 games. The Jags have a top-10 offense and a top-10 defense, while Houston is in the bottom half of the league in both categories. Jacksonville is projected to win by double digits and cover in well over 50% of simulations. The model also has the Under (44.5) hitting well over 50 percent of the time. See which other teams to pick here.

How to make Week 5 NFL picks

The model also called who wins and covers in every other game on the Week 5 NFL schedule, and it also says that an underdog provides a huge upset. You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine.

So what NFL picks can you make with confidence? And which underdog delivers a huge upset? Check out the latest NFL odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams are winning and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned nearly $7,000 since its inception.and find out.