10 best predictions for college football’s big Saturday. Which games appear to be the best bets and top picks for the Week 6 games?
Results So Far: 36-24-1
We got rid of the bad week.
It had to happen, and hopefully those of you who know how these rolls timed the fade just right.
Everything got weird going 3-7, but now comes the rebound.
No messing with something funky. No point totals — although down on the Duke-Georgia Tech 55 might be a meatball right in the middle of the plate. No gimmicks. Ten picks against the spread, ten wins…
This is the problem from last week onwards. It’s easier to find the odds with 88 games and all the massive spreads fueled by too much guesswork in the market.
Now the games are more even on any given Saturday while conference play is on, there are only 55 to choose from, and …
Crying doesn’t win. Let’s do this.
Here we go with the 10 best college football predictions against the spread starring with…
Click on each game for the preview
LINE Alabama -24.5
ATS PICK Texas A&M
I will never, never, never blame you for taking Alabama at home, giving up points, no matter how many they are.
I know this is a revenge game after losing last year, and I know the tiff between the coaches will matter, and I know it’s entirely possible the Bama defense breaks out and throws a perfect game.
Is Bryce Young ready to go, and if so, what shape is his shoulder in? I’m actually fine with the number even if he plays and is fine.
Alabama destroyed Utah State, ULM, and Vanderbilt. Texas? Way too close. Arkansas? The fourth quarter was huge, but it turned into a random 45 minutes.
Alabama has yet to prove it can be amazing for four quarters against someone good. Of course it can, but I’ll take the chance that A&M will bring something to this as well.
This is the most talented defense Alabama has faced thus far. A&M may have lost to Mississippi State 42-24 last week, but it gave up a pick six and a kick six along the way. That D should be able to stop the Tide from exploding.
Again, though, don’t fight yourself if you see something completely different, and that also applies to this…
LINE Georgia -29.5
ATS PICK Georgia
I know, I steered you terribly wrong last week in believing that Georgia was going to be Georgia again against mediocre Missouri. That didn’t work out so well.
Georgia is back home, somehow this is Auburn’s first road game of the season, and then there’s the scoring.
Auburn doesn’t really do that.
If you struggle to get 17 points at home against Missouri, and you only score 24 against San Jose State, what are you going to do against a Georgia team at 3:30 Saturday afternoon on CBS?
Why has Georgia struggled the last two weeks? No turnovers during the first three games, five in the last two. Auburn will not get the required takeaways.
LINE Oregon State -7
ATS PICK Stanford
Warning, this is the last stop before the train hits all the favorites the rest of the way.
After a crazy start to the season and a wild Week 5, I’m embracing the idea that the favorites are about to settle. I’ll bite the Cardinal though.
Oregon State gets a lot of love for pushing USC to the brink, but it’s forgotten that it had to work a little to get past Boise State and somehow came out alive against Fresno State. And then last week it all fell apart in the loss to Utah.
Another theme for this week that is starting to show a pattern: turnovers. Oregon State has given up eight in the last two games with no takeaways.
Stanford is back home for the first time in weeks, but it’s a touchdown underdog after going 1-3 with the lone win coming against Colgate. Yeah, and those other three games?
USC, in Washington, in Oregon.
Turnovers have been an issue, but the passing game has been solid, and this week even with the loss of leading rusher EJ Smith, the ground attack will be good.
Think about Stanford winning, by the way.
LINE Washington -13.5
ATS PICK washington
At this point in the season I like to have a few more variables to go away. Washington has only played one road game, and it wasn’t quite itself against UCLA.
Granted, the Bruins were brilliant in the 40-32 win, but the Huskies started to kick it all in the second half. It was too late, but there was a moment that showed they really could be that good and got caught in a tough road game against a solid undefeated team.
Arizona State covered against USC, and the defense was relatively good despite giving up close to 34 points per game over the last four losses. However, Oklahoma State, Utah, and USC all beat the Sun Devils by more than 14 points.
The Huskies would have to throw and throw some more en route to an easy win.
LINE Pitt -14.5
ATS PICK Pitt
The Pitt loss to Georgia Tech was weird.
The Panthers threw the ball well, but the defense had a rough day against the run, it didn’t come up with any takeaways, and Georgia Tech forced three turnovers in the 26-21 win.
Virginia Tech should be the cure to that.
The Hokies can’t score – you and some friends could score more than ten against North Carolina – they can’t run the ball, and the defense isn’t coming up with anything big with just two carries in the last four games.
Pitt should recover from last week without a problem.
NEXT UP: College Football Pick Against the Spread No. 5: Nevada at Colorado State